Decision support
for Deep uncertainty
It’s not what you think - its how you think that matters.
– Phillip Tetlock
We live in aN ERA of complexity.
Its time to embrace it.
Orthodox decision support tools and the accompanying leadership mindset are no longer fit for purpose. The need to deal with uncertainty has never been more essential to work within the new `era of complexity’. The Financial Times has reflected on the ineffectiveness of scenarios for business planning and in real-world applications with the Bernanke review and the Covid-19 Inquiry have recommended a radical overhaul in decision support for macro-economic and crisis preparedness.
Foresight Transitions recognises that many Boards and Executives are traditionally educated, trained and culturally conditioned to rely on outdated decision-support tools.
Across business and academia there is a growing awareness of the need for a new approach to strategy and financial decision making. The Foresight approach to strategy development and decision making flips the orthodox construct. Recognising uncertainty and complexity is immutable and emphasising that strategies and financial decision making should be assessed by their ability to accommodate complexity.
NEBULA:
NEXT-GEN DATA MODELLING
We are the creators of Nebula, a next-generation modelling tool that augments an organisation’s suite of decision support tools to understand and navigate future uncertainty.
Powerful and highly flexible, Nebula offers users an unprecedented level of flexibility and rigour in the creation and evaluation of portfolios and transition strategies.
CONSULTING:
UNLOCK THE POWER OF SYSTEMS THINKING
We offer a range of consultancy services that help organisations harness the power of leading-edge thinking around uncertainty and risk throughout their strategic planning cycles, delivered by an experienced team of researchers and technologists from Imperial College London, University of Oxford and University of Sheffield.
With deep experience in multiple aspects of complexity across a range of domains and sectors, our services range from generating insight on emerging issues and technologies to ongoing partnership in the formulation and deployment of robust strategies.
TRAINING:
here to help you thrive
We offer a range of workshops and courses that break down the key ideas, frameworks and tools of complexity and systems thinking, empowering your teams to navigate the challenges and opportunities of strategy in a time of deep uncertainty.
We also work on Mind-kits to compliment the Foresight toolkit to enable cognitive skills in leaders to better interpret and work with the systemic realities of high-dimensional and complex environments.
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Publications
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About us
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